Press Release
TORONTO, Nov. 09, 2022 — Northland Power Inc. (“Northland” or the “Company”) (TSX: NPI) reported today financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022. All dollar amounts set out herein are in thousands of Canadian dollars, unless otherwise stated.
“Our financial and operating performance through the third quarter and nine months of the year has been strong, supported by high availability across our portfolio leading to solid operational performance and higher power prices in Europe,” said Mike Crawley, Northland’s President and Chief Executive Officer. “We are affirming our full-year guidance for 2022, which was updated with our second quarter results in August and subsequently reflects our decision to pay down more debt in the fourth quarter on our facilities with the cash flows realized from higher operational performance in 2022. Operationally, we are particularly proud of our German operations team in leading a very successful bearings replacement campaign at Nordsee One on budget and ahead of schedule, maximizing the potential for revenue generation in the fourth quarter of 2022. In Asia, we continue to advance Hai Long with the project signing significant construction contracts for key elements including turbines, foundations, cable arrays and substations. In Europe, energy security continues to be a top priority and expanding the build out of renewable energy remains a primary objective. Northland remains a key player in European energy security ambitions with nearly 2.0GW of development projects in Europe set to hit financial close within the next two years.”
Third Quarter Highlights
Financial Results
Sales, gross profit and net income, as reported under IFRS, include consolidated results of entities not wholly owned by Northland, whereas non-IFRS financial measures include Northland’s proportionate ownership interest.
Summary of Consolidated Results | |||||||||||||
(in thousands of dollars, except per share amounts) | Three months ended September 30, | Nine months ended September 30, | |||||||||||
2022 | 2021 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||
FINANCIALS | |||||||||||||
Sales | $ | 555,854 | $ | 432,078 | $ | 1,807,700 | $ | 1,453,165 | |||||
Gross profit | 484,103 | 383,449 | 1,604,818 | 1,299,884 | |||||||||
Operating income | 216,466 | 89,018 | 821,757 | 513,170 | |||||||||
Net income (loss) | 76,089 | (4,668 | ) | 631,535 | 140,351 | ||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA (a non-IFRS measure) | 289,763 | 210,669 | 1,045,105 | 773,356 | |||||||||
Cash provided by operating activities | 523,338 | 280,397 | 1,282,294 | 1,049,927 | |||||||||
Adjusted Free Cash Flow (a non-IFRS measure) | 66,367 | 34,665 | 420,362 | 204,354 | |||||||||
Free Cash Flow (a non-IFRS measure) | 44,670 | 11,068 | 364,588 | 151,060 | |||||||||
Cash dividends paid | 49,673 | 44,728 | 145,508 | 128,067 | |||||||||
Total dividends declared (1) | $ | 71,957 | $ | 67,817 | $ | 210,410 | $ | 196,199 | |||||
Per Share | |||||||||||||
Weighted average number of shares – basic (000s) | 238,011 | 225,964 | 232,712 | 216,264 | |||||||||
Net income (loss) – basic | $ | 0.33 | $ | (0.03 | ) | $ | 2.32 | $ | 0.36 | ||||
Adjusted Free Cash Flow – basic (a non-IFRS measure) | $ | 0.28 | $ | 0.15 | $ | 1.81 | $ | 0.94 | |||||
Free Cash Flow – basic (a non-IFRS measure) | $ | 0.19 | $ | 0.05 | $ | 1.57 | $ | 0.70 | |||||
Total dividends declared | $ | 0.30 | $ | 0.30 | $ | 0.90 | $ | 0.90 | |||||
ENERGY VOLUMES | |||||||||||||
Electricity production in gigawatt hours (GWh) | 2,129 | 1,815 | 7,130 | 5,929 | |||||||||
(1) Represents total dividends paid to common shareholders including dividends in cash or in shares under the DRIP. |
Third Quarter Results Summary
Offshore wind facilities
Electricity production increased 9% or 67GWh compared to the same quarter of 2021 primarily due to higher wind resource, no unpaid curtailments related to negative prices and fewer uncompensated grid outages at the German facilities.
Sales of $278 million increased 41% or $80 million compared to the same quarter of 2021 primarily due to higher market prices and electricity production across all offshore wind facilities, partially offset by the foreign exchange rate fluctuations due to weakening of the Euro. The continued strength in energy prices across Europe resulted in revenue above the respective SDE and FIT rates at the three offshore wind facilities in the quarter. Wholesale market prices exceeding the FIT and the SDE at the offshore wind facilities allowed for the realization of $76 million (at Northland’s share) of higher sales in the quarter. Adjusted Free Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow are largely hedged and therefore virtually unaffected by foreign exchange rate fluctuations. The final revenues realized for 2022 will depend on the average APX prices over the course of the year, which could vary from what has been recorded for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022.
Adjusted EBITDA of $176 million increased 69% or $72 million compared to the same quarter of 2021. The increase was primarily driven by higher wind resource and higher market prices across all offshore wind facilities, no unpaid curtailments related to negative prices in Germany and fewer uncompensated outages at the German facilities, partially offset by foreign exchange rate fluctuations.
An important indicator for performance of offshore wind facilities is the historical average power production of the facility, where available. The following table summarizes actual electricity production and the historical average, high and low for the applicable operating periods of each offshore facility:
Three months ended September 30, | 2022 (1) | 2021 (1) | Historical Average (2) |
Historical High (2) |
Historical Low (2) |
||||
Electricity production (GWh) | |||||||||
Gemini | 436 | 397 | 446 | 524 | 397 | ||||
Nordsee One | 179 | 173 | 192 | 220 | 173 | ||||
Deutsche Bucht | 185 | 164 | 173 | 185 | 164 | ||||
Total | 800 | 734 | |||||||
(1) Includes GWh produced and attributed to paid curtailments. | |||||||||
(2) Represents the historical power production for the period since the commencement of commercial operation of the respective facility (2017 for Gemini and Nordsee One, and 2020 for Deutsche Bucht) and excludes unpaid curtailments. |
Nordsee One Component Issue (Bearings Replacement Campaign)
Nordsee One’s campaign to replace the main rotor shaft assembly (RSA) on all 54 turbines has been successfully completed ahead of schedule. Completion of the campaign resulted in lower revenue loss and more importantly, will ensure the availability of the turbines ahead of the fourth quarter, which is typically a stronger period for wind resource. The total cost of the campaign was in line with previously disclosed expectations and was effectively covered by the warranty bond settlement proceeds of €58 million ($67 million at Northland’s share) received in 2020 relating to then-outstanding warranty obligations of Nordsee One’s turbine manufacturer.
Onshore renewable facilities
Electricity production was 38% or 133GWh higher than the same quarter of 2021 due to higher onshore wind and solar resources generally across all onshore facilities.
Sales of $95 million were 27% or $20 million higher than the same quarter of 2021 primarily due to the contribution from the Spanish portfolio and taking into account the increase in 2022 posted prices in the current regulatory period in Spain. Effective mid-2022, these regulatory amendments raised the posted price from €49/MWh to €122/MWh, retroactive from January 1, 2022, thus allowing generation facilities to realize higher sales in the year.
Adjusted EBITDA of $61 million was higher than the same quarter of 2021. Excluding the contribution from the Spanish portfolio, sales and Adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter would have been 8% and 5% higher, respectively, compared to the same quarter of 2021, primarily due to higher wind and solar resource.
Efficient natural gas facilities
Electricity production increased 16% or 115GWh compared to the same quarter of 2021 due to the effect of a maintenance outage last year at Thorold and higher dispatches at Kirkland Lake, partially offset by the sale of Iroquois Falls.
Sales of $111 million increased 9% or $9 million compared to the same quarter of 2021 primarily due to higher production at Thorold and Kirkland, partially offset by the sale of Iroquois Falls.
Adjusted EBITDA of $52 million decreased 18% or $11 million compared to the same quarter of 2021 primarily due to the expiry of the PPA at (and subsequent sale of) Iroquois Falls.
Utilities
Sales and Adjusted EBITDA of $70 million and $30 million, respectively, increased 24% or $13 million and 29% or $7 million compared to the same quarter of 2021 largely due to rate escalations, driven by a higher Colombian producer price index, positively affecting EBSA’s 2022 financial performance.
As previously disclosed, in December 2021, Northland restructured and upsized EBSA’s long-term, non-recourse financing (the “EBSA Facility”), resulting in $84 million of incremental cash proceeds to Northland, net of closing costs. The upsizing of the EBSA Facility was completed on the basis of growth in EBSA’s projected EBITDA growth for 2022, based on increases in the rate base. Net upsizing proceeds of $27 million, in excess of EBSA’s expansionary capital expenditure needs were included in Adjusted Free Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow for the first nine months of 2022.
Consolidated statement of income (loss)
General and administrative (G&A) costs of $19 million in the third quarter increased 27% or $4 million compared to the same quarter of 2021 primarily due to personnel costs and other costs supporting Northland’s global growth, in line with management’s expectations.
Development costs of $21 million decreased 7.2% or $2 million compared to 2021 primarily due to the Spanish portfolio’s acquisition cost incurred last year, partially offset by higher costs incurred in 2022 to advance early to mid-stage development projects.
Net finance costs of $78 million in the third quarter decreased 3% or $2 million compared to the same quarter of 2021 primarily due to scheduled repayments on facility-level loans.
Fair value loss on derivative contracts was $43 million in the third quarter primarily due to net movement in the fair value of derivatives related to commodity, interest rates and foreign exchange contracts.
Foreign exchange gain of $40 million in the third quarter was primarily due to unrealized gain from fluctuations in the closing foreign exchange rates.
Net income of $76 million in the third quarter increased by $81 million compared to the same quarter of 2021 primarily due to the factors described above, partially offset by $20 million higher tax expense.
Adjusted EBITDA
Three months ended September 30, | Nine months ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
2022 | 2021 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||
Net income (loss) | $ | 76,089 | $ | (4,668 | ) | $ | 631,535 | $ | 140,351 | ||||||
Adjustments: | |||||||||||||||
Finance costs, net | 77,814 | 80,186 | 237,054 | 242,806 | |||||||||||
Gemini interest income | 3,344 | 3,961 | 10,800 | 11,967 | |||||||||||
Acquisition costs | 138 | 3,674 | 757 | 6,007 | |||||||||||
Provision for (recovery of) income taxes | 47,410 | 26,979 | 233,672 | 73,464 | |||||||||||
Depreciation of property, plant and equipment | 132,416 | 166,962 | 424,445 | 457,399 | |||||||||||
Amortization of contracts and intangible assets | 14,042 | 9,235 | 39,645 | 28,878 | |||||||||||
Fair value (gain) loss on derivative contracts | 38,238 | (33,583 | ) | (334,937 | ) | (75,489 | ) | ||||||||
Foreign exchange (gain) loss | (39,668 | ) | 5,858 | 27,281 | 51,889 | ||||||||||
Impairment loss | — | — | — | 29,981 | |||||||||||
Elimination of non-controlling interests | (56,897 | ) | (44,542 | ) | (198,715 | ) | (185,974 | ) | |||||||
Finance lease (lessor) | (1,563 | ) | (1,761 | ) | (4,841 | ) | (6,024 | ) | |||||||
Others(1) | (1,600 | ) | (1,632 | ) | (21,591 | ) | (1,899 | ) | |||||||
Adjusted EBITDA | $ | 289,763 | $ | 210,669 | $ | 1,045,105 | $ | 773,356 | |||||||
(1) Others primarily include share of results from equity investments, loss (gain) on sale of assets and share of joint venture project development costs. |
Adjusted EBITDA of $290 million in the third quarter, increased 38% or $79 million compared to the same quarter of 2021. The significant factors increasing Adjusted EBITDA include:
The factor partially offsetting the increase in Adjusted EBITDA was:
Adjusted Free Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow
Three months ended September 30, | Nine months ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
2022 | 2021 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||
Cash provided by operating activities | $ | 523,338 | $ | 280,397 | $ | 1,282,294 | $ | 1,049,927 | |||||||
Adjustments: | |||||||||||||||
Net change in non-cash working capital balances related to operations | (189,623 | ) | (78,387 | ) | (148,631 | ) | (180,513 | ) | |||||||
Non-expansionary capital expenditures | (14,263 | ) | (15,210 | ) | (45,573 | ) | (32,824 | ) | |||||||
Restricted funding for major maintenance, debt and decommissioning reserves | (228 | ) | (628 | ) | (11,326 | ) | (9,799 | ) | |||||||
Interest | (75,396 | ) | (25,684 | ) | (223,429 | ) | (177,066 | ) | |||||||
Scheduled principal repayments on facility debt | (52,044 | ) | (22,711 | ) | (400,429 | ) | (357,234 | ) | |||||||
Funds set aside (utilized) for scheduled principal repayments | (153,735 | ) | (123,226 | ) | (170,661 | ) | (119,316 | ) | |||||||
Preferred share dividends | (2,811 | ) | (2,704 | ) | (8,252 | ) | (8,101 | ) | |||||||
Consolidation of non-controlling interests | (1,707 | ) | (10,568 | ) | (43,513 | ) | (49,782 | ) | |||||||
Investment income(1) | 4,268 | 5,140 | 12,666 | 15,403 | |||||||||||
Proceeds under NER300 and warranty settlement at Nordsee One | 16,911 | 10,763 | 55,787 | 27,872 | |||||||||||
Others(2) | (10,040 | ) | (6,114 | ) | 65,655 | (7,507 | ) | ||||||||
Free Cash Flow | $ | 44,670 | $ | 11,068 | $ | 364,588 | $ | 151,060 | |||||||
Add back: Growth expenditures | 21,697 | 23,597 | 55,774 | 53,294 | |||||||||||
Adjusted Free Cash Flow | $ | 66,367 | $ | 34,665 | $ | 420,362 | $ | 204,354 | |||||||
(1) Investment income includes Gemini interest income. | |||||||||||||||
(2) Others mainly include net proceeds from sale of two efficient natural gas facilities, EBSA refinancing, effect of foreign exchange rates and hedges, Nordsee One interest on shareholder loans, share of joint venture project development costs, acquisition costs, lease payments, interest received and other non-cash expenses adjusted in working capital excluded from Free Cash Flow in the period. |
Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $66 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022, was 91% or $32 million higher than the same quarter of 2021.
The significant factors increasing Adjusted Free Cash Flow were:
The factors partially offsetting the increase in Adjusted Free Cash Flow were:
Free Cash Flow, which includes growth expenditures, totaled $45 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022, and was $34 million higher than the same quarter of 2021 due to the same factors as Adjusted Free Cash Flow.
The following table reconciles Adjusted EBITDA to Adjusted Free Cash Flow.
Three months ended September 30, | Nine months ended September 30, | ||||||||||||||
2022 | 2021 | 2022 | 2021 | ||||||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA | $ | 289,763 | $ | 210,669 | $ | 1,045,105 | $ | 773,356 | |||||||
Adjustments: | |||||||||||||||
Scheduled debt repayments | (163,945 | ) | (123,113 | ) | (459,499 | ) | (379,309 | ) | |||||||
Interest expense | (61,808 | ) | (59,908 | ) | (183,112 | ) | (181,605 | ) | |||||||
Income taxes paid | (33,535 | ) | (6,916 | ) | (122,644 | ) | (42,752 | ) | |||||||
Non-expansionary capital expenditure | (12,160 | ) | (13,345 | ) | (38,828 | ) | (29,644 | ) | |||||||
Utilization (funding) of maintenance and decommissioning reserves | (228 | ) | (627 | ) | (10,458 | ) | (8,862 | ) | |||||||
Lease payments, including principal and interest | (4,234 | ) | (1,549 | ) | (7,357 | ) | (5,599 | ) | |||||||
Preferred dividends | (2,811 | ) | (2,704 | ) | (8,252 | ) | (8,101 | ) | |||||||
Foreign exchange hedge gain (loss) | 8,125 | 28 | 56,216 | 12,209 | |||||||||||
Proceeds under NER300 and warranty settlement at Nordsee One | 14,376 | 9,149 | 47,420 | 23,692 | |||||||||||
EBSA Refinancing proceeds, net of growth capital expenditures | 10,119 | — | 26,896 | — | |||||||||||
Others(1) | 1,008 | (616 | ) | 19,101 | (2,325 | ) | |||||||||
Free Cash Flow | $ | 44,670 | $ | 11,068 | $ | 364,588 | $ | 151,060 | |||||||
Add Back: Growth expenditures | 21,697 | 23,597 | 55,774 | 53,294 | |||||||||||
Adjusted Free Cash Flow | $ | 66,367 | $ | 34,665 | $ | 420,362 | $ | 204,354 | |||||||
(1) Others mainly include Gemini interest income, net proceeds from sale of two efficient natural gas facilities, shareholder loan to Kirkland Lake and interest received on third-party loans to partners. |
Refer to Northland’s 2021 Annual Report for additional information on sources of liquidity in addition to Adjusted Free Cash Flow.
Significant Events and Updates
Northland’s global activities are exposed to general economic and business conditions including elevated inflation levels, higher interest rates and capital costs, fluctuations in currency, economic conditions in the countries and regions in which the Company conducts business, and potential interruptions to the global supply chains. The Company’s activities are also subject to regulatory risks and changes in regulation or legislation affected by political developments and by national and local laws and regulations such as restrictions on production, changes in taxes, and other amounts payable to governments or governmental agencies, price or rate controls that result in changes to market prices for power generated, reduced revenues or cash flows for operating assets, higher cost of operations, and introduce legal and administrative hurdles. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the Company’s assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in the forward-looking statements.
The Company continues to monitor these and other developments and is taking actions intended to minimize exposure to and impact of these global macroeconomic events. These actions include, but not limited to, conducting targeted debt refinancing for existing operating facilities to enhance cash flows and corporate liquidity, and implementing hedging strategies on development assets to provide certainty to costs and to preserve economic returns of the projects. In addition, the Company consistently looks for opportunities to optimize its portfolio to create value, enhance financial flexibility and drive enhanced performance in line with its strategic objectives.
Balance Sheet:
Renewables Growth:
Other:
2022 Financial Outlook
With strong year-to-date financial performance through the first nine months of the year, including the realized strength in European power prices and even after accounting for the debt repayments subsequent to the quarter at the Spanish and Gemini facilities, which amounted to an incremental $150 million or approximately $0.64 per share, management is reaffirming its 2022 financial guidance for Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Free Cash Flow, and Free Cash Flow per share.
For 2022, Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $1.25 billion to $1.35 billion, Adjusted Free Cash Flow per share is expected to be in the range of $1.85 to $2.05 and Free Cash Flow per share is expected to be in the range of $1.40 to $1.60.
On September 29, 2022, in response to the surge in wholesale electricity markets, the EU Council established a cap on market revenues on renewable energy producers of €180/MWh effective across the European Union from December 1, 2022, to at least June 30, 2023. Each member state has an obligation to implement the cap and the flexibility to adapt the EU’s structure based on the structure of their individual markets. Depending how each EU member state finalizes its implementation mechanism, with some member states indicating their intention to adopt an earlier date for implementation, there is potential for impact to Northland’s financial results. As of the date of this press release, the 2022 financial guidance has been re-affirmed and includes management’s interpretations of the current proposed legislative/regulatory changes, even though they are subject to change and have not yet been finalized or enacted into law. 2022 financial guidance also reflects that almost all of the higher cash flows realized to date from higher market prices have or will be used to repay project level debt.
The Company remains well positioned to fund its growth objectives. Northland has access to $1.2 billion of available liquidity including $0.5 billion of cash on hand and approximately $0.7 billion available on its corporate revolving credit facility as at November 9, 2022, which can be utilized to fund growth projects that ultimately advance to financial close. Borrowings under the credit facilities are revolving, such that they are ultimately repaid from project financings at financial close, corporate and/or project-level financing optimizations and/or sell downs at or before financial close.
Pauline Alimchandani, Northland’s Chief Financial Officer said, “with the higher power prices across Europe thus far in 2022, Northland’s financial position has been enhanced by higher realized cash flows across our portfolio. With an uncertain economic backdrop of higher interest rates and inflationary pressures, we have proactively taken steps to refinance €2.2 billion of aggregate Gemini and Spain debt facilities, using the higher cash flows generated in 2022 to deleverage these assets and enhance our long-term cash flow and corporate liquidity. These actions will ensure the performance of these assets remain resilient going into the next few years. Furthermore, both facilities benefited from improved market conditions and financing terms. The strong global lender support for both financings, demonstrates the quality of our assets. We continue to evaluate potential refinancing and sell-down opportunities within our portfolio to generate both additional value, liquidity and cash flows to Northland.”
Northland’s Adjusted Free Cash Flow finances growth expenditures, and corporate costs that support growth and new initiatives. With a focus on its BBB (Stable) credit rating from S&P and Fitch, Northland considers it preferable to employ low-cost corporate credit to fund investments in its capitalized growth projects. To the extent there is excess Adjusted Free Cash Flow generated by the Company through financial and operational outperformance, these additional cash flows will be used fund capitalized growth projects, thereby reducing the need for corporate debt or equity funding.
Northland also intends to execute a selective sell-down strategy of partial interests of certain of its development projects on or before financial close to allow the Company to: (i) manage jurisdictional exposures, (ii) crystallize some development profit prior to construction as a result of the de-risking of the project; (iii) enhance our Adjusted Free Cash Flow and liquidity position; and (iv) increase project returns, amongst other considerations. The Company will assess each opportunity individually and intends to remain a long-term owner in the renewable projects it develops. The Company’s first notable development asset sell-down may occur in 2022 or 2023, pending terms satisfactory to Northland.
The following table summarizes Northland’s sources of liquidity that have been sourced by the management to fund dividends, and growth and capital investments, including Adjusted Free Cash Flow generated:
September 30, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | ||||
Dividend Reinvestment Program (DRIP) | $ | 63,175 | $ | 88,975 | |
Release of funds from debt service reserve (1) | — | 73,723 | |||
Proceeds from Canadian facility up-financing(s) | — | 39,600 | |||
EBSA financing, net of prior debt repayment and costs | — | 83,959 | |||
Equity offering (net proceeds) (2) | 649,581 | 950,421 | |||
Liquidity Generated Before Adjusted Free Cash Flow | $ | 712,756 | $ | 1,236,678 | |
Adjusted Free Cash Flow | 420,362 | 386,366 | |||
Total Liquidity Generated | $ | 1,133,118 | $ | 1,623,044 | |
(1) 2021 represents the release of cash from Deutsche Bucht’s debt service reserve account following the implementation of a debt service reserve facility when the senior debt was restructured. | |||||
(2) 2022 net proceeds resulting from activity under the ATM program. |
Third-Quarter Earnings Conference Call
Northland will hold an earnings conference call on November 10, 2022, to discuss its 2022 third quarter results. The call will be hosted by Northland’s Senior Management, who will discuss the financial results and company developments as well as answering questions from analysts.
Conference call details are as follows:
Thursday, November 10, 2022, 10:00 a.m. ET
Participants wishing to join the call and ask questions must register using the following URL below:
https://register.vevent.com/register/BI781c431021bd43b4884409b9b5d32f84
For all other attendees, the call will be broadcast live on the internet, in listen-only mode and can be accessed using the following link:
Webcast URL: https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/4o86pc5c
For those unable to attend the live call, an audio recording will be available on northlandpower.com on November 11, 2022.
Northland’s unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, and related Management’s Discussion and Analysis can be found on SEDAR at www.sedar.com under Northland’s profile and on northlandpower.com.
For further information, please contact:
Mr. Wassem Khalil, Senior Director, Investor Relations
647-288-1019
[email protected]
northlandpower.com
IBF4
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